The graphics in this presen tation focus on projections through 2040. It also puts the spotlight on several topical issues, including the outlook for renewable energy. Smart grids are an essential element to facilitate this transformation. The 2011 outlook is in four parts and gives a full update of energy demand and supply projections to 2035. Iea world energy outlook 2010a comment sciencedirect. In addition to reference case projections, ieo2011 includes several scenario cases that are used to estimate the impacts of oil prices and demand on global liquid fuel markets. This analysis shows how many additional grace years the world gains, by adopting immediately only economically sound measures, before the door closes on costeffective action on climate change. It presents authoritative projections of energy trends through. Updated projections of energy demand, production, trade and investment, fuel by fuel and region by region to 2035 are provided in the 2010 edition of the world energy outlook weo. Fatih birol, chief economist of the international energy agency iea designed and directed the study which was prepared by the ieas directorate of global energy economics of the international energy agency and other offices of the agency. The issue is of growing urgency as countries around the world are quickly.
The world energy outlook weo is the gold standard of longterm energy analysis. It claims, among other things, that the united states will become the worlds largest oil producer by around 2020, and north america will become a net oil exporter by 2030. This year it dealt with caspian energy, energy poverty and energy subsidies. Energy and climate change world energy outlook special report. Many countries have made pledges under the copenhagen accord to reduce greenhousegas emissions. World energy consumption by country grouping, 201240. World energy outlook 2010 the world appears to be emerging from the worst economic crisis in decades. Iea 2010 world energy outlook 2011 outlook 2012 outlook.
There is no single story about the future of global energy and no longterm iea forecast for the energy sector. In greece, default,unexpecte d in any industrial country, has become a real fear. Fossil fuels account for 77% of the increase in world primary energy demand in 20072030. Department of energy washington, dc 20585 this report was prepared by the energy information administration, the independent statistical and analytical agency within the department of energy.
The engine of energy demand growth moves to south asia primary energy demand, 2035 mtoe china is the main driver of increasing energy demand in the current decade, but india takes over in the 2020s as the principal source of growth 4% 65% 10% 8% 8% 5% oecd nonoecd asia middle east africa latin america eurasia share of global growth 2012 2035 480. Ieejs asiaworld energy outlook 2012 increasing significance of asia and the middle east, and their interdependence energy supply and demand outlook for 2035 in the world and asia, in particular two major scenariosreference scenario and advanced technology scenarioand derivative cases supplemental outlook for 2050. International energy outlook 2009 may 2009 energy information administration office of integrated analysis and forecasting u. World energy outlook 2010 food climate research network. Will peak oil be the guest or the spectre at the feast. World energy outlook 2012 industry and government decision makers and others with a stake in the energy sector all need weo 2012. The waterenergy nexus,as water resources become increasingly stressed and access more contentious.
Coal accounted for nearly half of the increase in global energy use over the past decade, with the bulk of the growth coming from the power sector in emerging economies 0. The ieo2017 is the first ed ition of this report to include mo del results through 2050, which are available on the ieo page of the eia website. It presents authoritative projections of energy trends through to 2035. In 2035, the united states would realize a 15% decrease in energy demand relative to 2010 and a 1. International energy outlook 2009 indiaenvironmentportal. The efficient world scenario delays carbon lockin energy efficiency can delay lockin of co2 emissions permitted under. Energyrelated air pollution leads to millions of premature deaths and costs the global economy trillions of dollars each year. Energy watch group challenges international energy agencys. Drawing on the results of the new edition of the weo, iea executive director nobuo tanaka, deputy executive director richard h. Demand growth slowed markedly from an average of 8% per year from 2000 to 2012 to less than 2% per year since 2012, and in the new policies scenario it. Oecd green growth and sustainable development forum. Find solutions to global energy challenges through engagement and. Iea world energy outlook 2016 special report on energy and. The amount of energy received from the sun has been estimated to be in the range of 1,575 to 49,837 ejyear, which is approximately 3 to 100 times larger than the world s tpes in 2008.
The iraqi energy sector, examining both its importance in satisfying the countrys own needs and its crucial role in meeting global oil and gas demand. Measures of progress towards providing universal access to modern energy services. Fatih birol chief economist head, economic analysis division energy forum world bank june 45, 2002 washington, dc. World energy outlook 2011 brings together the latest data, policy developments, and the experience of another year to provide robust analysis and insight into global energy markets, today and for the next 25 years. This edition of the ieas flagship weo publication gives the latest energy demand and supply. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energy related emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices. Iea world energy outlook 2011a comment sciencedirect. It finds that while global energy related emissions slow as a result of the climate pledges, they still increase. World energy outlook 2009 international energy forum ief. The world energy outlook has published detailed analysis of the. To meet that demand, and to limit coal imports, goyal plans to. Signs of increasing policy focus on energy efficiency alltime high oil prices acting as brake on global economy divergence in natural gas prices affecting europe with prices 5times us levels and asia 8times symptoms of an unsustainable energy system persist. Its allencompassing annual studies of oil, natural gas, coal, electricity and renewables are indispensable tools for energy policy makers.
In the united states and europe, short and longterm debt issues remain. Energyrelated co 2 emissions by region china overtakes the us as the worlds biggest emitter before 2010, though its per capita emissions reach just 60% of those of the oecd in 2030 0 3 6 9 12 15 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 gigatonnes of co 2 united states china rest of nonoecd rest of oecd. Jones, and chief economist fatih birol provided an update of energy demand and supply projections and their implications for. Energy watch group challenges international energy agencys energy outlookagain by chris meehan on 12016 in renewable energy, solar energy, solar power germanybased energy watch group is again calling the findings of an international energy agency iea report, its world energy outlook weo, into question. That is the question asked by the international energy agency on page 48 of the introduction to their world energy outlook 2010, launched on 9 november 2010.
World energy outlook 2016 special report on energy and air pollution. The annual world energy outlook is the international energy agencys flagship publication. The world energy outlook 2010 is a comprehensive energy report issued by the iea. This special report, part of the world energy outlook series, assesses the effect of recent lowcarbon energy developments and the indcs proposed thus far. World energy outlook 2009 presentation to the press london, 10 november. World energy outlook 2011 international energy forum ief. Eias international energy outlook 2017 ieo2017 presents an assessment of longterm world energy markets. Doubts have arisen about whether emerging countries would drive the acceleration of global economic growth in the near future. Need, technology and challenges article pdf available in international journal of global energy issues 376637 5. Why the ieas 2012 world energy outlook could be wrong. Asiaworld energy outlook 2015 i foreword he global energy environment has changed dramatically since only a little more than one year ago. On december 2, the csis energy and national security program hosted the international energy agency to present its world energy outlook 2009. As the worlds population grows and demand for energy services swells, the already high costs of air pollution are at risk of increasing dramatically.
World energy outlook 2019 explores these widening fractures in detail. The efficient world scenario delays carbon lockin energy efficiency can delay lockin of o. Introduction global energy demand has been expanding rapidly. The international energy agency iea provides unrealistically high oil forecasts in its new 2012 world energy outlook weo. The weo 2012 also focuses on topical issues, such as the crucial role that energy efficiency can play on a country by country and sector by sector. Rising demand for mobility and reliance on more difficult and costly sources of supply keep pressure on oil prices. It claims, among other things, that the united states will become the world s largest oil producer by around 2020, and north america will become a net oil exporter by 2030.
It is rewritten annually to reflect the world s changing energy and economy realities. What unlocking the purely economic potential for energy efficiency could do, country by country and sector by sector, for energy markets, the economy and the environment. World energy outlook 2009 center for strategic and. Eia, international energy outlook 2011 0 50 100 150 200 250 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 liquids including biofuels renewables excluding biofuels natural gas coal nuclear history 2008 projections 34% 28% 23% 10% 5% 29% 27% 23% 7% 14% share of world total howard. Commitments have also been made by the g20 and apec to phase out inefficient fossilfuel subsidies. Oil, coal, natural gas, renewables and nuclear power are all covered, together with an update on climate change issues.
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